{"id":4336,"date":"2018-08-10T18:47:00","date_gmt":"2018-08-10T18:47:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/?p=4336"},"modified":"2025-01-15T03:09:39","modified_gmt":"2025-01-15T03:09:39","slug":"forecasting-hepatitis-c-liver-disease-burden-on-real-life-data-does-the-hidden-iceberg-matter-to-reach-the-elimination-goals","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/zh\/forecasting-hepatitis-c-liver-disease-burden-on-real-life-data-does-the-hidden-iceberg-matter-to-reach-the-elimination-goals\/","title":{"rendered":"\u57fa\u4e8e\u73b0\u5b9e\u6570\u636e\u9884\u6d4b\u4e19\u578b\u809d\u708e\u809d\u75c5\u8d1f\u62c5\u3002\u9690\u85cf\u7684\u51b0\u5c71\u5bf9\u4e8e\u5b9e\u73b0\u6d88\u9664\u76ee\u6807\u662f\u5426\u91cd\u8981\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u6982\u62ec<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u80cc\u666f\u4e0e\u76ee\u6807<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e19\u578b\u809d\u708e\uff08HCV\uff09\u76f4\u63a5\u6297\u75c5\u6bd2\u6cbb\u7597\u7684\u8fdb\u5c55\uff0c\u91cd\u65b0\u6fc0\u53d1\u4e86\u65e8\u5728\u8bc6\u522b\u53d7\u611f\u67d3\u4e2a\u4f53\u7684\u516c\u5171\u536b\u751f\u4e3e\u63aa\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u8bc4\u4f30\u4e86\u4ec5\u6709\u786e\u8bca\u5e76\u63a5\u53d7\u76f8\u5173\u62a4\u7406\u7684\u4e2a\u4f53\u5bf9HCV\u603b\u4f53\u8d1f\u62c5\u4f30\u8ba1\u503c\u7684\u6f5c\u5728\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u5e76\u786e\u5b9a\u4e86\u57282030\u5e74\u524d\u5b9e\u73b0\u4e16\u754c\u536b\u751f\u7ec4\u7ec7\u76ee\u6807\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u7b56\u7565\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u65b9\u6cd5<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4f7f\u7528\u57fa\u4e8e\u610f\u5927\u5229\u786e\u8bca\u548c\u6cbb\u7597\u60a3\u8005\u771f\u5b9e\u6570\u636e\u7684\u5efa\u6a21\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u6784\u5efa\u4e86\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u62a4\u7406\u8054\u7cfb\u573a\u666f\uff0c\u4ee5\u8bc4\u4f30\u5b9e\u73b0 HCV \u6d88\u9664\u76ee\u6807\u7684\u6f5c\u5728\u7b56\u7565\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u7ed3\u679c<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5728 40% \u5173\u8054\u62a4\u7406\u60c5\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u75c5\u6bd2\u8840\u75c7\u8d1f\u62c5\u4f1a\u4e0b\u964d\uff0860%\uff09\uff1b\u7136\u800c\u5230 2025 \u5e74\uff0c\u7b26\u5408\u6cbb\u7597\u6761\u4ef6\u7684\u60a3\u8005\u5c06\u4f1a\u8017\u5c3d\u3002\u901a\u8fc7\u9488\u5bf9\u6027\u7b5b\u67e5\u7b56\u7565\u5728 1948-1978 \u5e74\u51fa\u751f\u961f\u5217\u4e2d\u589e\u52a0\u75c5\u4f8b\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u53d1\u73b0 75% \u7684 F0-F3 \u75c5\u4f8b\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u8865\u5145\u786e\u8bca\u60a3\u8005\u7fa4\u3002\u5728 60% \u5173\u8054\u62a4\u7406\u60c5\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u5230 2030 \u5e74\u75c5\u6bd2\u8840\u75c7\u611f\u67d3\u5c06\u4e0b\u964d 70%\uff0c\u4f46\u5230 2028 \u5e74\uff0c\u7b26\u5408\u6cbb\u7597\u6761\u4ef6\u7684\u60a3\u8005\u5c06\u4f1a\u8017\u5c3d\u3002\u5982\u679c\u8981\u7ef4\u6301\u6cbb\u7597\uff0c\u4ee5 1958-1978 \u5e74\u51fa\u751f\u961f\u5217\u4e3a\u91cd\u70b9\u7684\u7b5b\u67e5\u7b56\u7565\u53ef\u4ee5\u8986\u76d6 55% \u7684 F0-F3 \u4e2a\u4f53\u3002\u5728 80% \u5173\u8054\u62a4\u7406\u60c5\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u5bf9 1968-1978 \u5e74\u51fa\u751f\u961f\u5217\u8fdb\u884c\u6709\u9650\u7684\u7b5b\u67e5\u53ef\u4ee5\u7ef4\u6301\u5b9e\u73b0 HCV \u6d88\u9664\u76ee\u6807\u6240\u9700\u6c34\u5e73\u7684\u6cbb\u7597\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u7ed3\u8bba <\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u610f\u5927\u5229\u662f\u4e19\u578b\u809d\u708e\u75c5\u6bd2\uff08HCV\uff09\u6d41\u884c\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c2025\u5e74\u81f32028\u5e74\u95f4\uff0c\u7b26\u5408\u6cbb\u7597\u6761\u4ef6\u7684\u60a3\u8005\u7fa4\u4f53\u5c06\u4f1a\u8017\u5c3d\u3002\u4e3a\u4e86\u4fdd\u6301\u6cbb\u7597\u7387\u5e76\u5b9e\u73b0\u6d88\u9664HCV\u7684\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u9700\u8981\u9488\u5bf9\u9ad8\u60a3\u75c5\u7387\u4eba\u7fa4\u589e\u52a0\u75c5\u4f8b\u53d1\u73b0\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u56fd\u5bb6\uff1a<\/strong> \u610f\u5927\u5229<\/p>\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-content-justification-center is-layout-flex wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button is-style-outline is-style-outline--1\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link has-text-color wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/29900654\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u9605\u8bfb\u5b8c\u6574\u62a5\u544a<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Summary Background &amp; Aims Advances in direct acting anti-viral treatment of HCV have reinvigorated public health initiatives aimed at identifying affected individuals. We evaluated the possible impact of only diagnosed and linked-to-care individuals on overall HCV burden estimates and identified a possible strategy to achieve the WHO targets by 2030. Methods Using a modelling approach [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":24,"featured_media":3486,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[10],"publication-author":[809,827,488,816,821,826,808,820,819,815,813,680,810,811,542,823,831,803,822,668,814,830,818,829,832,824,825,725,722,828,800,494,807,812,805,799,806,802,724,817,801,804],"class_list":["post-4336","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-publication","tag-hcv","publication-author-andreone-p","publication-author-andriulli-a","publication-author-blach-s","publication-author-blanc-p","publication-author-borgia-g","publication-author-brancaccio-g","publication-author-brunetto-mr","publication-author-caporaso-n","publication-author-chessa-l","publication-author-ciancio-a","publication-author-coppola-c","publication-author-craxi-a-2","publication-author-erne-em","publication-author-federico-a","publication-author-gamkrelidze-i","publication-author-gasbarrini-a","publication-author-gori-a","publication-author-iannone-a","publication-author-ieluzzi-d","publication-author-kondili-la","publication-author-lampertico-p","publication-author-madonia-s","publication-author-massari-m","publication-author-melazzini-m","publication-author-montilla-s","publication-author-orlandini-a","publication-author-persico-m","publication-author-piter-collaborating-group","publication-author-puoti-m","publication-author-quaranta-mg","publication-author-raimondo-g","publication-author-razavi-h","publication-author-robbins-s","publication-author-rumi-mg","publication-author-russo-fp","publication-author-santantonio-ta","publication-author-strazzabosco-m","publication-author-taliani-g","publication-author-vella-s","publication-author-vinci-m","publication-author-zignego-al","publication-author-zuin-m"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4336","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/24"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4336"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4336\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7530,"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4336\/revisions\/7530"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3486"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4336"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4336"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4336"},{"taxonomy":"publication-author","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication-author?post=4336"}],"curies":[{"name":"\u53ef\u6e7f\u6027\u7c89\u5242","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}