{"id":4336,"date":"2018-08-10T18:47:00","date_gmt":"2018-08-10T18:47:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/?p=4336"},"modified":"2025-01-15T03:09:39","modified_gmt":"2025-01-15T03:09:39","slug":"forecasting-hepatitis-c-liver-disease-burden-on-real-life-data-does-the-hidden-iceberg-matter-to-reach-the-elimination-goals","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/ru\/forecasting-hepatitis-c-liver-disease-burden-on-real-life-data-does-the-hidden-iceberg-matter-to-reach-the-elimination-goals\/","title":{"rendered":"\u041f\u0440\u043e\u0433\u043d\u043e\u0437\u0438\u0440\u043e\u0432\u0430\u043d\u0438\u0435 \u0431\u0440\u0435\u043c\u0435\u043d\u0438 \u0433\u0435\u043f\u0430\u0442\u0438\u0442\u0430 \u0421 \u043d\u0430 \u043e\u0441\u043d\u043e\u0432\u0435 \u0440\u0435\u0430\u043b\u044c\u043d\u044b\u0445 \u0434\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0445. \u0418\u043c\u0435\u0435\u0442 \u043b\u0438 \u0437\u043d\u0430\u0447\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0435 \u0441\u043a\u0440\u044b\u0442\u044b\u0439 \u0430\u0439\u0441\u0431\u0435\u0440\u0433 \u0434\u043b\u044f \u0434\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0438\u0436\u0435\u043d\u0438\u044f \u0446\u0435\u043b\u0435\u0439 \u043b\u0438\u043a\u0432\u0438\u0434\u0430\u0446\u0438\u0438?"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u0420\u0435\u0437\u044e\u043c\u0435<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

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\u041c\u0435\u0442\u043e\u0434\u044b<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

\u0418\u0441\u043f\u043e\u043b\u044c\u0437\u0443\u044f \u043f\u043e\u0434\u0445\u043e\u0434 \u043a \u043c\u043e\u0434\u0435\u043b\u0438\u0440\u043e\u0432\u0430\u043d\u0438\u044e, \u043e\u0441\u043d\u043e\u0432\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0439 \u043d\u0430 \u0440\u0435\u0430\u043b\u044c\u043d\u044b\u0445 \u0434\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0445 \u0418\u0442\u0430\u043b\u0438\u0438 \u043e \u0434\u0438\u0430\u0433\u043d\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0438\u0440\u043e\u0432\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0445 \u0438 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u043b\u0435\u0447\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0445 \u043f\u0430\u0446\u0438\u0435\u043d\u0442\u0430\u0445, \u0431\u044b\u043b\u0438 \u043f\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0440\u043e\u0435\u043d\u044b \u0440\u0430\u0437\u043b\u0438\u0447\u043d\u044b\u0435 \u0441\u0446\u0435\u043d\u0430\u0440\u0438\u0438 \u043f\u0440\u0438\u0432\u044f\u0437\u043a\u0438 \u043a \u043c\u0435\u0434\u0438\u0446\u0438\u043d\u0441\u043a\u043e\u0439 \u043f\u043e\u043c\u043e\u0449\u0438 \u0434\u043b\u044f \u043e\u0446\u0435\u043d\u043a\u0438 \u043f\u043e\u0442\u0435\u043d\u0446\u0438\u0430\u043b\u044c\u043d\u044b\u0445 \u0441\u0442\u0440\u0430\u0442\u0435\u0433\u0438\u0439 \u0432 \u0434\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0438\u0436\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0438 \u0446\u0435\u043b\u0435\u0439 \u044d\u043b\u0438\u043c\u0438\u043d\u0430\u0446\u0438\u0438 \u0412\u0413\u0421.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u041f\u043e\u043b\u0443\u0447\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0435 \u0440\u0435\u0437\u0443\u043b\u044c\u0442\u0430\u0442\u044b<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

\u0421\u043e\u0433\u043b\u0430\u0441\u043d\u043e \u0441\u0446\u0435\u043d\u0430\u0440\u0438\u044e 40%, \u0441\u0432\u044f\u0437\u0430\u043d\u043d\u043e\u0433\u043e \u0441 \u043b\u0435\u0447\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0435\u043c, \u0432\u0438\u0440\u0435\u043c\u0438\u0447\u0435\u0441\u043a\u043e\u0435 \u0431\u0440\u0435\u043c\u044f \u0441\u043d\u0438\u0437\u0438\u0442\u0441\u044f (60%); \u043e\u0434\u043d\u0430\u043a\u043e \u043a 2025 \u0433. \u043a\u043e\u043b\u0438\u0447\u0435\u0441\u0442\u0432\u043e \u043f\u043e\u0434\u0445\u043e\u0434\u044f\u0449\u0438\u0445 \u0434\u043b\u044f \u043b\u0435\u0447\u0435\u043d\u0438\u044f \u043f\u0430\u0446\u0438\u0435\u043d\u0442\u043e\u0432 \u0431\u0443\u0434\u0435\u0442 \u0438\u0441\u0447\u0435\u0440\u043f\u0430\u043d\u043e. \u0423\u0432\u0435\u043b\u0438\u0447\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0435 \u0447\u0438\u0441\u043b\u0430 \u0441\u043b\u0443\u0447\u0430\u0435\u0432 \u0432\u044b\u044f\u0432\u043b\u0435\u043d\u0438\u044f \u0441\u043b\u0443\u0447\u0430\u0435\u0432 \u0441 \u043f\u043e\u043c\u043e\u0449\u044c\u044e \u0446\u0435\u043b\u0435\u0432\u043e\u0439 \u0441\u0442\u0440\u0430\u0442\u0435\u0433\u0438\u0438 \u0441\u043a\u0440\u0438\u043d\u0438\u043d\u0433\u0430 \u0432 \u043a\u043e\u0433\u043e\u0440\u0442\u0430\u0445 1948\u20131978 \u0433\u043e\u0434\u043e\u0432 \u043c\u043e\u0433\u043b\u043e \u0431\u044b \u043f\u043e\u043f\u043e\u043b\u043d\u0438\u0442\u044c \u043f\u0443\u043b \u0434\u0438\u0430\u0433\u043d\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0438\u0440\u043e\u0432\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0445 \u043f\u0430\u0446\u0438\u0435\u043d\u0442\u043e\u0432, \u043e\u0431\u043d\u0430\u0440\u0443\u0436\u0438\u0432 75% \u0441\u043b\u0443\u0447\u0430\u0435\u0432 F0-F3. \u0421\u043e\u0433\u043b\u0430\u0441\u043d\u043e \u0441\u0446\u0435\u043d\u0430\u0440\u0438\u044e, \u0441\u0432\u044f\u0437\u0430\u043d\u043d\u043e\u043c\u0443 \u0441 \u043b\u0435\u0447\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0435\u043c 60%, \u043a\u043e\u043b\u0438\u0447\u0435\u0441\u0442\u0432\u043e \u0432\u0438\u0440\u0435\u043c\u0438\u0447\u0435\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0445 \u0438\u043d\u0444\u0435\u043a\u0446\u0438\u0439 \u0441\u043e\u043a\u0440\u0430\u0442\u0438\u0442\u0441\u044f \u043d\u0430 70% \u043a 2030 \u0433\u043e\u0434\u0443, \u043d\u043e \u043a\u043e\u043b\u0438\u0447\u0435\u0441\u0442\u0432\u043e \u043f\u0430\u0446\u0438\u0435\u043d\u0442\u043e\u0432, \u043f\u043e\u0434\u0445\u043e\u0434\u044f\u0449\u0438\u0445 \u0434\u043b\u044f \u043b\u0435\u0447\u0435\u043d\u0438\u044f, \u0437\u0430\u043a\u043e\u043d\u0447\u0438\u0442\u0441\u044f \u043a 2028 \u0433\u043e\u0434\u0443. \u043e\u0441\u043e\u0431\u0435\u0439 F0-F3. \u0421\u043e\u0433\u043b\u0430\u0441\u043d\u043e \u0441\u0446\u0435\u043d\u0430\u0440\u0438\u044e 80%, \u0441\u0432\u044f\u0437\u0430\u043d\u043d\u043e\u0433\u043e \u0441 \u043b\u0435\u0447\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0435\u043c, \u0441\u043a\u0440\u0438\u043d\u0438\u043d\u0433, \u043e\u0433\u0440\u0430\u043d\u0438\u0447\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0439 \u043a\u043e\u0433\u043e\u0440\u0442\u0430\u043c\u0438 \u043d\u043e\u0432\u043e\u0440\u043e\u0436\u0434\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0445 1968\u20131978 \u0433\u043e\u0434\u043e\u0432, \u043c\u043e\u0436\u0435\u0442 \u043f\u043e\u0434\u0434\u0435\u0440\u0436\u0438\u0432\u0430\u0442\u044c \u043b\u0435\u0447\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0435 \u043d\u0430 \u0443\u0440\u043e\u0432\u043d\u044f\u0445, \u043d\u0435\u043e\u0431\u0445\u043e\u0434\u0438\u043c\u044b\u0445 \u0434\u043b\u044f \u0434\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0438\u0436\u0435\u043d\u0438\u044f \u0446\u0435\u043b\u0435\u0439 \u043f\u043e \u044d\u043b\u0438\u043c\u0438\u043d\u0430\u0446\u0438\u0438 \u0412\u0413\u0421.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0417\u0430\u043a\u043b\u044e\u0447\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0435 <\/h3>\n\n\n\n

\u0412 \u0418\u0442\u0430\u043b\u0438\u0438, \u043a\u043e\u0442\u043e\u0440\u0430\u044f \u044f\u0432\u043b\u044f\u0435\u0442\u0441\u044f \u044d\u043d\u0434\u0435\u043c\u0438\u0447\u043d\u043e\u0439 \u0441\u0442\u0440\u0430\u043d\u043e\u0439 \u043f\u043e \u0412\u0413\u0421, \u043a\u043e\u043b\u0438\u0447\u0435\u0441\u0442\u0432\u043e \u043f\u043e\u0434\u0445\u043e\u0434\u044f\u0449\u0438\u0445 \u0434\u043b\u044f \u043b\u0435\u0447\u0435\u043d\u0438\u044f \u043f\u0430\u0446\u0438\u0435\u043d\u0442\u043e\u0432 \u0438\u0441\u0441\u044f\u043a\u043d\u0435\u0442 \u0432 \u043f\u0435\u0440\u0438\u043e\u0434 \u0441 2025 \u043f\u043e 2028 \u0433\u043e\u0434. \u0414\u043b\u044f \u043f\u043e\u0434\u0434\u0435\u0440\u0436\u0430\u043d\u0438\u044f \u0443\u0440\u043e\u0432\u043d\u044f \u043b\u0435\u0447\u0435\u043d\u0438\u044f \u0438 \u0434\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0438\u0436\u0435\u043d\u0438\u044f \u0446\u0435\u043b\u0435\u0439 \u044d\u043b\u0438\u043c\u0438\u043d\u0430\u0446\u0438\u0438 \u0412\u0413\u0421 \u0442\u0440\u0435\u0431\u0443\u0435\u0442\u0441\u044f \u0431\u043e\u043b\u0435\u0435 \u0447\u0430\u0441\u0442\u043e\u0435 \u0432\u044b\u044f\u0432\u043b\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0435 \u0441\u043b\u0443\u0447\u0430\u0435\u0432 \u0432 \u0446\u0435\u043b\u0435\u0432\u044b\u0445 \u0433\u0440\u0443\u043f\u043f\u0430\u0445 \u0441 \u0432\u044b\u0441\u043e\u043a\u043e\u0439 \u0440\u0430\u0441\u043f\u0440\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0440\u0430\u043d\u0435\u043d\u043d\u043e\u0441\u0442\u044c\u044e.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0421\u0442\u0440\u0430\u043d\u044b:<\/strong> \u0418\u0442\u0430\u043b\u0438\u044f<\/p>\n\n

\n
\u0427\u0438\u0442\u0430\u0442\u044c \u043f\u043e\u043b\u043d\u044b\u0439 \u043e\u0442\u0447\u0435\u0442<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Summary Background & Aims Advances in direct acting anti-viral treatment of HCV have reinvigorated public health initiatives aimed at identifying affected individuals. We evaluated the possible impact of only diagnosed and linked-to-care individuals on overall HCV burden estimates and identified a possible strategy to achieve the WHO targets by 2030. Methods Using a modelling approach […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":24,"featured_media":3486,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[10],"publication-author":[809,827,488,816,821,826,808,820,819,815,813,680,810,811,542,823,831,803,822,668,814,830,818,829,832,824,825,725,722,828,800,494,807,812,805,799,806,802,724,817,801,804],"class_list":["post-4336","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-publication","tag-hcv","publication-author-andreone-p","publication-author-andriulli-a","publication-author-blach-s","publication-author-blanc-p","publication-author-borgia-g","publication-author-brancaccio-g","publication-author-brunetto-mr","publication-author-caporaso-n","publication-author-chessa-l","publication-author-ciancio-a","publication-author-coppola-c","publication-author-craxi-a-2","publication-author-erne-em","publication-author-federico-a","publication-author-gamkrelidze-i","publication-author-gasbarrini-a","publication-author-gori-a","publication-author-iannone-a","publication-author-ieluzzi-d","publication-author-kondili-la","publication-author-lampertico-p","publication-author-madonia-s","publication-author-massari-m","publication-author-melazzini-m","publication-author-montilla-s","publication-author-orlandini-a","publication-author-persico-m","publication-author-piter-collaborating-group","publication-author-puoti-m","publication-author-quaranta-mg","publication-author-raimondo-g","publication-author-razavi-h","publication-author-robbins-s","publication-author-rumi-mg","publication-author-russo-fp","publication-author-santantonio-ta","publication-author-strazzabosco-m","publication-author-taliani-g","publication-author-vella-s","publication-author-vinci-m","publication-author-zignego-al","publication-author-zuin-m"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4336","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/24"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4336"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4336\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7530,"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4336\/revisions\/7530"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3486"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4336"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4336"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4336"},{"taxonomy":"publication-author","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication-author?post=4336"}],"curies":[{"name":"WP","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}