{"id":5856,"date":"2023-01-17T14:52:00","date_gmt":"2023-01-17T14:52:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/?p=5856"},"modified":"2025-01-15T03:05:21","modified_gmt":"2025-01-15T03:05:21","slug":"hepatitis-c-prevalence-and-elimination-planning-in-pakistan-a-bottom-up-approach-accounting-for-provincial-variation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/es\/hepatitis-c-prevalence-and-elimination-planning-in-pakistan-a-bottom-up-approach-accounting-for-provincial-variation\/","title":{"rendered":"Planificaci\u00f3n de la prevalencia y eliminaci\u00f3n de la hepatitis C en Pakist\u00e1n, un enfoque de abajo hacia arriba que tiene en cuenta la variaci\u00f3n provincial"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"summary\">Resumen<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>En Pakist\u00e1n, se han producido cambios sustanciales en la programaci\u00f3n y el tratamiento del virus de la hepatitis C (VHC) desde que la encuesta serol\u00f3gica nacional de 2008 estim\u00f3 una prevalencia anti-VHC de 4,81 TP3T. En ausencia de un estudio nacional actualizado, este an\u00e1lisis utiliza datos provinciales para estimar una prevalencia nacional y las intervenciones necesarias para lograr la eliminaci\u00f3n. Utilizando un proceso Delphi, se revisaron los datos epidemiol\u00f3gicos del VHC de las cuatro provincias de Pakist\u00e1n (que representan el 97% de la poblaci\u00f3n) con 21 expertos en la materia en Pakist\u00e1n. Las estimaciones a nivel de provincia se ingresaron en un modelo matem\u00e1tico para estimar la carga nacional de enfermedad por VHC en ausencia de intervenci\u00f3n (Base), y si se alcanzan los objetivos de eliminaci\u00f3n de la Organizaci\u00f3n Mundial de la Salud (OMS) para 2030 (80% reducci\u00f3n de nuevas infecciones, 90% diagn\u00f3stico cobertura, cobertura de tratamiento 80% y reducci\u00f3n de la mortalidad 65%: eliminaci\u00f3n de la OMS). Se estima que 9\u00a0746\u00a0000 (7\u00a0573\u00a0000\u201310\u00a0006\u00a0000) paquistan\u00edes viv\u00edan con VHC vir\u00e9mico al 1 de enero de 2021; una prevalencia vir\u00e9mica de 4,3% (3,3-4,4). La eliminaci\u00f3n de la OMS requerir\u00eda un promedio anual de 18,8 millones de ex\u00e1menes, 1,1 millones de tratamientos y 46\u00a0700 nuevas infecciones prevenidas anualmente entre 2022 y 2030. La eliminaci\u00f3n reducir\u00eda el total de infecciones en 7\u00a0045\u00a0000, salvar\u00eda 152\u00a0000 vidas y evitar\u00eda 104\u00a0000 casos incidentes de carcinoma hepatocelular entre 2015 y 2030 Las encuestas de sangre, los datos program\u00e1ticos y los aportes del panel de expertos descubrieron m\u00e1s infecciones por el VHC y n\u00fameros de tratamiento m\u00e1s bajos en las provincias de lo estimado utilizando extrapolaciones nacionales, lo que demuestra los beneficios de un enfoque de abajo hacia arriba. La detecci\u00f3n y el tratamiento deben aumentar 20 y 5 veces, respectivamente, para frenar la epidemia de VHC en Pakist\u00e1n y lograr la eliminaci\u00f3n para 2030.<\/p>\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-content-justification-center is-layout-flex wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button is-style-outline is-style-outline--1\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link has-text-color wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Mooneyhan-2023-HCV-elimination-planning-Pakistan.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Lea el informe completo<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Summary In Pakistan, substantial changes to hepatitis C virus (HCV) programming and treatment have occurred since the 2008 nationwide serosurvey estimated a 4.8% anti-HCV prevalence. In the absence of an updated national study, this analysis uses provincial data to estimate a national prevalence and the interventions needed to achieve elimination. Using a Delphi process, epidemiologic [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":939,"featured_media":3193,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[32,31,10,28],"publication-author":[143,154,150,153,90,146,157,138,97,140,147,139,145,141,142,137,152,148,144,156,93,155,149,151],"class_list":["post-5856","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-publication","tag-economic-impact","tag-elimination","tag-hcv","tag-policy-analysis","publication-author-aamir-ghafoor-khan","publication-author-ahmad-nawaz","publication-author-ambreen-khan","publication-author-ayub-rose","publication-author-ellen-mooneyhan","publication-author-farooq-azam","publication-author-gul-sabeen-azam-ghorezai","publication-author-hassan-mahmood","publication-author-homie-razavi","publication-author-huma-qureshi","publication-author-khalid-mahmood","publication-author-masood-anwar","publication-author-mohammad-khalil-akhter","publication-author-muhammad-tariq","publication-author-mujahid-aslam","publication-author-nabeel-ahmed-maqbool","publication-author-sabeen-shah","publication-author-saeed-hamid","publication-author-saira-khowaja","publication-author-samra-mazhar","publication-author-sarah-blach","publication-author-syeda-zahida-sarwar","publication-author-tanweer-hussain","publication-author-uzma-khan"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5856","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/939"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5856"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5856\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7520,"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5856\/revisions\/7520"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3193"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5856"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5856"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5856"},{"taxonomy":"publication-author","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication-author?post=5856"}],"curies":[{"name":"gracias","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}