{"id":2570,"date":"2016-12-16T16:46:00","date_gmt":"2016-12-16T16:46:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/?p=2570"},"modified":"2025-01-15T20:24:24","modified_gmt":"2025-01-15T20:24:24","slug":"global-prevalence-and-genotype-distribution-of-hepatitis-c-virus-infection-in-2015-a-modelling-study","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/es\/global-prevalence-and-genotype-distribution-of-hepatitis-c-virus-infection-in-2015-a-modelling-study\/","title":{"rendered":"Prevalencia mundial y distribuci\u00f3n de genotipos de la infecci\u00f3n por el virus de la hepatitis C en 2015: un estudio de modelos"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Resumen<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Colaboradores<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Colaboradores del Observatorio Polaris HCV<\/strong>: Sarah Blach, Stefan Zeuzem, Michael Manns, Ibrahim Altraif, Ann-Sofi Duberg, David H Muljono, Imam Waked, Seyed M Alavian, Mei-Hsuan Lee, Francesco Negro, Faisal Abaalkhail, Ahmed Abdou, Maheeba Abdulla, Antoine Abou Rached, Inka Aho, Ulus Akarca, Imad Al Ghazzawi, Saad Al Kaabi, Faryal Al Lawati, Khalid Al Namaani, Youssif Al Serkal, Said A Al-Busafi, Layla Al-Dabal, Soo Aleman, Abdullah S Alghamdi, Abdulrahman A Aljumah, Hamad E Al-Romaihi, Monique I Andersson, Vic Arendt, Perttu Arkkila, Abdullah M Assiri, Oidov Baatarkhuu, Abate Bane, Ziv Ben-Ari, Colm Bergin, Fernando Bessone, Florian Bihl, Abdul R Bizri, Martin Blachier, Antonio J Blasco, Carlos E Brand\u00e3o Mello, Philip Bruggmann, Cheryl R Brunton, Filipe Calinas, Henry LY Chan, Asad Chaudhry, Hugo Cheinquer, Chien-Jen Chen, Rong-Nan Chien, Moon Seok Choi, Peer B Christensen, Wan-Long Chuang, Vladimir Chulanov, Laura Cisneros, Mette R Clausen, Matthew E Cramp, Antonio Craxi, Esther A Croes, Olav Dalgard, Jorge R Daruich, Victor de Ledinghen, Gregory J Dore, Manal H El-Sayed, Gul Erg\u00f6r, Gamal Esmat, Chris Estes, Karolin Falconer, Elmoubashar Farag, Maria LG Ferraz, Paulo R Ferreira, Robert Flisiak, Sona Frankova, Ivane Gamkrelidze, Ed Gane, Javier Garc\u00eda -Samaniego, Amir Ghafoor Khan, Ilias Gountas, Adrian Goldis, Magn\u00fas Gottfredsson, Jason Grebely, Michael Gschwantler, M\u00e1rio Guimar\u00e3es Pess\u00f4a, Jessie Gunter, Behzad Hajarizadeh, Omer Hajelssedig, Saeed Hamid, Waseem Hamoudi, Harald Hatza Himoudi , Irena Hrstic, Yee-Tak Hui, Bela Hunyady, Ramazan Idilman, Wasim Jafri, Rohani Jahis, Naveed Z Janjua, Peter Jar\u010du\u0161ka, Agita Jeruma, J\u00f3n G Jonasson, Yasser Kamel, Jia-Horng Kao, Sabahattin Kaymakoglu, David Jawadnobich Khamis, Young S Kim, Loreta Kondili, Zaher Koutoubi, Mel Krajden, Henrik Krarup, Moon-Sing Lai, Wim Laleman, Wai-Cheung Lao, Daniel Lavanchy, Pablo L\u00e1zaro, Henri Leleu, Olufunmilayo Lesi, Laurentius A Lesmana, Michael Li, Valentina Liakina, Young-Suk Lim, Boris Luksic, Ada m Mahomed, Matti Maimets, Mih\u00e1ly Makara, Abraham O Malu, Rui T Marinho, Paul Marotta, Stefan Mauss, Muhammad S Memon, Maria C Mendes Correa, Nahum Mendez-Sanchez, Shahin Merat, Ammal M Metwally, Rosmawati Mohamed, Christophe Moreno, Fadi H Mourad, Beat M\u00fcllhaupt, Kimberly Murphy, Helen Nde, Richard Njouom, Diana Nonkovic, Suzanne Norris, Solomon Obekpa, Stephen Oguche, Sigur\u00f0ur Olafsson, Marian Oltman, Ogu Omede, Casimir Omuemu, Ohene Opare-Sem, Anne LH \u00d8vrehus, Shirley Owusu-Ofori, Tsendsuren S Oyunsuren, George Papatheodoridis, Ken Pasini, Kevork M Peltekian, Richard O Phillips, Nikolay Pimenov, Hossein Poustchi, Nishi Prabdial-Sing, Huma Qureshi, Alnoor Ramji, Devin Razavi-Shearer, Kathryn-Razavine Redae, Henk W Reesink, Ezequiel Ridruejo, Sarah Robbins, Lewis R Roberts, Stuart K Roberts, William M Rosenberg, Fran\u00e7oise Roudot-Thoraval, Stephen D Ryder, Rifaat Safadi, Olga Sagalova, Riina Salupere, Faisal M Sanai, Juan F Sanchez Avila , Vivek Saraswat, Rui Sarmento-Cast ro, Christoph Sarrazin, Jonathan D Schmelzer, Ivan Schr\u00e9ter, Carole Seguin-Devaux, Samir R Shah, Ala I Sharara, Manik Sharma, Anatoly Shevaldin, Gamal E Shiha, William Sievert, Mark Sonderup, Kyriakos Souliotis, Danute Speiciene, Jan Sperl, Peter St\u00e4rkel, Rudolf E Stauber, Catherine Stedman, Daniel Struck, Tung-Hung Su, Vana Sypsa, Soek-Siam Tan, Junko Tanaka, Alexander J Thompson, Ieva Tolmane, Krzysztof Tomasiewicz, Jonas Valantinas, Pierre Van Damme, Adriaan J van der Meer, Ingo van Thiel, Hans Van Vlierberghe, Adriana Vince, Wolfgang Vogel, Heiner Wedemeyer, Nina Weis, Vincent Ws Wong, Cesar Yaghi, Ayman Yosry, Man-Fung Yuen, Evy Yunihastuti, Aasim Yusuf, Eli Zuckerman, Homie Razavi<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Fondo<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>La 69.a Asamblea Mundial de la Salud aprob\u00f3 la Estrategia Global del Sector de la Salud para eliminar la infecci\u00f3n por el virus de la hepatitis C (VHC) para 2030, que puede convertirse en una realidad con el reciente lanzamiento de terapias antivirales de acci\u00f3n directa. Se requieren estimaciones fiables de la carga de morbilidad para las estrategias nacionales. Este an\u00e1lisis estima la prevalencia global del VHC vir\u00e9mico a finales de 2015, una actualizaci\u00f3n y ampliaci\u00f3n del an\u00e1lisis de 2014, que inform\u00f3 80 millones (95% CI 64-103) de infecciones vir\u00e9micas en 2013.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">M\u00e9todos<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Desarrollamos modelos de carga de morbilidad a nivel de pa\u00eds despu\u00e9s de una revisi\u00f3n sistem\u00e1tica de la prevalencia del VHC (n\u00famero de estudios, n = 6754) y estudios de genotipo (n = 11 342) publicados despu\u00e9s de 2013. Se utiliz\u00f3 un proceso Delphi para obtener el consenso de los expertos del pa\u00eds y validar las aportaciones. . Solo se utilizaron estimaciones publicadas para los pa\u00edses en los que no se pudieron programar reuniones de grupos de expertos. La prevalencia mundial se estim\u00f3 utilizando promedios regionales para pa\u00edses sin datos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Recomendaciones<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Se elaboraron modelos para 100 pa\u00edses, 59 de los cuales fueron aprobados por expertos del pa\u00eds, y los 41 restantes se estimaron utilizando \u00fanicamente datos publicados. Los pa\u00edses restantes no ten\u00edan datos suficientes para crear un modelo. La prevalencia global del VHC vir\u00e9mico se estima en 1 \u00b7 0% (intervalo de incertidumbre 95% 0 \u00b7 8-1 \u00b7 1) en 2015, correspondiente a 71 \u00b7 1 mill\u00f3n (62 \u00b7 5-79 \u00b7 4) infecciones vir\u00e9micas. Los genotipos 1 y 3 fueron la causa m\u00e1s com\u00fan de infecciones (44% y 25%, respectivamente).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Interpretaci\u00f3n<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>La estimaci\u00f3n mundial de infecciones vir\u00e9micas es m\u00e1s baja que las estimaciones anteriores, en gran parte debido a estimaciones de prevalencia m\u00e1s recientes (m\u00e1s bajas) en \u00c1frica. Adem\u00e1s, el aumento de la mortalidad por causas relacionadas con el h\u00edgado y el envejecimiento de la poblaci\u00f3n pueden haber contribuido a una reducci\u00f3n de las infecciones.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Fondos<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Fundaci\u00f3n John C Martin.<\/p>\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-content-justification-center is-layout-flex wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button is-style-outline is-style-outline--1\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link has-text-color wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/pubmed\/28404132\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Lea el informe completo<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Summary Collaborators Polaris Observatory HCV Collaborators:&nbsp;Sarah Blach,&nbsp;Stefan Zeuzem,&nbsp;Michael Manns,&nbsp;Ibrahim Altraif,&nbsp;Ann-Sofi Duberg,&nbsp;David H Muljono,&nbsp;Imam Waked,&nbsp;Seyed M Alavian,&nbsp;Mei-Hsuan Lee,&nbsp;Francesco Negro,&nbsp;Faisal Abaalkhail,&nbsp;Ahmed Abdou,&nbsp;Maheeba Abdulla,&nbsp;Antoine Abou Rached,&nbsp;Inka Aho,&nbsp;Ulus Akarca,&nbsp;Imad Al Ghazzawi,&nbsp;Saad Al Kaabi,&nbsp;Faryal Al Lawati,&nbsp;Khalid Al Namaani,&nbsp;Youssif Al Serkal,&nbsp;Said A Al-Busafi,&nbsp;Layla Al-Dabal,&nbsp;Soo Aleman,&nbsp;Abdullah S Alghamdi,&nbsp;Abdulrahman A Aljumah,&nbsp;Hamad E Al-Romaihi,&nbsp;Monique I Andersson,&nbsp;Vic Arendt,&nbsp;Perttu Arkkila,&nbsp;Abdullah M Assiri,&nbsp;Oidov Baatarkhuu,&nbsp;Abate Bane,&nbsp;Ziv Ben-Ari,&nbsp;Colm Bergin,&nbsp;Fernando [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":24,"featured_media":3216,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[10,12],"publication-author":[1080],"class_list":["post-2570","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-publication","tag-hcv","tag-modelling","publication-author-polaris-observatory-hcv-collaborators"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2570","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/24"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2570"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2570\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7571,"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2570\/revisions\/7571"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3216"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2570"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2570"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2570"},{"taxonomy":"publication-author","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication-author?post=2570"}],"curies":[{"name":"gracias","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}