{"id":2558,"date":"2017-12-01T16:25:00","date_gmt":"2017-12-01T16:25:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/?p=2558"},"modified":"2025-01-15T03:18:03","modified_gmt":"2025-01-15T03:18:03","slug":"modeling-the-epidemic-of-nonalcoholic-fatty-liver-disease-demonstrates-an-exponential-increase-in-burden-of-disease","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/ar\/modeling-the-epidemic-of-nonalcoholic-fatty-liver-disease-demonstrates-an-exponential-increase-in-burden-of-disease\/","title":{"rendered":"\u062a\u0648\u0636\u062d \u0646\u0645\u0630\u062c\u0629 \u0648\u0628\u0627\u0621 \u0645\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0628\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0647\u0646\u064a \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062c\u0645 \u0639\u0646 \u0634\u0631\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u062d\u0648\u0644 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0647\u0627\u0626\u0644\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0628\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0636"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u0645\u0644\u062e\u0635<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

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\u0627\u0644\u062e\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0628\u062f\u064a\u0629 (HCC) \u0648\u0645\u0624\u0634\u0631\u064b\u0627 \u0645\u062a\u0632\u0627\u064a\u062f\u064b\u0627 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0632\u0631\u0627\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0628\u062f. \u062a\u0645 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0645\u0627\u0631\u0643\u0648\u0641 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u062a\u0637\u0648\u0631 \u0645\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0628\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0647\u0646\u064a \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u062d\u0648\u0644\u064a. \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0646\u062f \u062d\u062f\u0648\u062b NAFLD \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062e\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0646\u062a\u0634\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0645\u0646\u0629 \u0644\u062f\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u0644\u063a\u064a\u0646 \u0648\u0645\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0643\u0631\u064a \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0648\u0639 2 (DM). \u062a\u0645 \u0627\u0634\u062a\u0642\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0627\u0636\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062f\u0628\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0634\u0648\u0631\u0629 \u0639\u0646\u062f \u062a\u0648\u0641\u0631\u0647\u0627 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0642\u0642 \u0645\u0646 \u0635\u062d\u062a\u0647\u0627 \u0628\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0627\u0642\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0637\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u062d\u062f\u0648\u062b \u0633\u0631\u0637\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0628\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0637 \u0628\u0640 NAFLD. \u062a\u0645 \u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u062a\u0644\u064a\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0628\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0637 \u0628\u0640 NAFLD \u060c \u0648\u0623\u0645\u0631\u0627\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0628\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0642\u062f\u0645\u0629 \u060c \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0648\u0641\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0637\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0643\u0628\u062f \u062d\u062a\u0649 \u0639\u0627\u0645 2030. \u0648\u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639 \u0623\u0646 \u062a\u0632\u064a\u062f \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a NAFLD \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0627\u0626\u062f\u0629 \u0645\u0646 21% \u060c \u0645\u0646 83.1 \u0645\u0644\u064a\u0648\u0646 (2015) \u0625\u0644\u0649 100.9 \u0645\u0644\u064a\u0648\u0646 (2030) \u060c \u0628\u064a\u0646\u0645\u0627 \u0633\u062a\u0632\u064a\u062f \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a NASH \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0627\u0626\u062f\u0629 63% \u0645\u0646 16.52 \u0645\u0644\u064a\u0648\u0646 \u0625\u0644\u0649 27.00 \u0645\u0644\u064a\u0648\u0646 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629. \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639 \u0623\u0646 \u064a\u0628\u0644\u063a \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0627\u0646\u062a\u0634\u0627\u0631 NAFLD \u0639\u0645\u0648\u0645\u064b\u0627 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u0644\u063a\u064a\u0646 (\u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a\u0646 \u062a\u062a\u0631\u0627\u0648\u062d \u0623\u0639\u0645\u0627\u0631\u0647\u0645 \u0628\u064a\u0646 15 \u0639\u0627\u0645\u064b\u0627) 33.51TTP1T \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0627\u0645 2030 \u060c \u0648\u0633\u064a\u0632\u064a\u062f \u0645\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637 \u0639\u0645\u0631 \u0633\u0643\u0627\u0646 NAFLD \u0645\u0646 50 \u0625\u0644\u0649 55 \u0639\u0627\u0645\u064b\u0627 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 2015-2030. \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0627\u0645 2015 \u060c \u062a\u0645 \u062a\u0635\u0646\u064a\u0641 \u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0642\u0631\u0628 \u0645\u0646 20% \u0645\u0646 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a NAFLD \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0646\u0647\u0627 NASH \u060c \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0639\u062a \u0625\u0644\u0649 27% \u0628\u062d\u0644\u0648\u0644 \u0639\u0627\u0645 2030 \u060c \u0648\u0647\u0648 \u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0639\u0643\u0633 \u0643\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u062a\u0637\u0648\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0636 \u0648\u0634\u064a\u0648\u062e\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0643\u0627\u0646. \u0633\u064a\u0632\u064a\u062f \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u062d\u062f\u0648\u062b \u062a\u0644\u064a\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0628\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0627 \u062a\u0639\u0648\u064a\u0636\u064a 168% \u0625\u0644\u0649 105430 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0628\u062d\u0644\u0648\u0644 \u0639\u0627\u0645 2030 \u060c \u0628\u064a\u0646\u0645\u0627 \u0633\u064a\u0632\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0635\u0627\u0628\u0629 \u0628\u0633\u0631\u0637\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0628\u062f \u0628\u0645\u0642\u062f\u0627\u0631 137% \u0625\u0644\u0649 12240 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629. \u0633\u062a\u0632\u064a\u062f \u0648\u0641\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0628\u062f 178% \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0642\u062f\u0631 \u0628\u0646\u062d\u0648 78300 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0648\u0641\u0627\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0627\u0645 2030. \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 2015-2030 \u060c \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639 \u0623\u0646 \u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0647\u0646\u0627\u0643 \u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0642\u0631\u0628 \u0645\u0646 800000 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0648\u0641\u0627\u0629 \u0643\u0628\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0632\u0627\u0626\u062f\u0629. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

\u0645\u0639 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0645\u0631\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0645\u0646\u0629 \u0644\u062f\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u0644\u063a\u064a\u0646 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062f\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0643\u0631\u064a \u062c\u0646\u0628\u064b\u0627 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u062c\u0646\u0628 \u0645\u0639 \u0634\u064a\u062e\u0648\u062e\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0643\u0627\u0646 \u060c \u0633\u062a\u0632\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0623\u0645\u0631\u0627\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0628\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0637\u0629 \u0628\u0640 NAFLD \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0648\u0641\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062d\u062f\u0629. \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a\u064a\u062c\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0644\u0625\u0628\u0637\u0627\u0621 \u0646\u0645\u0648 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a NAFLD \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062e\u064a\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0627\u062c\u064a\u0629 \u0636\u0631\u0648\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u062a\u062e\u0641\u064a\u0641 \u0639\u0628\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0636. (\u0637\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0628\u062f 2018 \u061b 67: 123-133).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0627\u0644\u062f\u0648\u0644:<\/strong> \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062d\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0631\u064a\u0643\u064a\u0629<\/p>\n\n

\n
\u0627\u0642\u0631\u0623 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0627\u0645\u0644<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Summary Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and resulting nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) are highly prevalent in the United States, where they are a growing cause of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and increasingly an indicator for liver transplantation. A Markov model was used to forecast NAFLD disease progression. Incidence of NAFLD was based on historical and […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":24,"featured_media":3479,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[12,24],"publication-author":[535,872,494,909,908],"class_list":["post-2558","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-publication","tag-modelling","tag-nafld","publication-author-estes-c","publication-author-loomba-r","publication-author-razavi-h","publication-author-sanyal-aj","publication-author-younossi-z"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2558","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/24"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2558"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2558\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7545,"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2558\/revisions\/7545"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3479"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2558"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2558"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2558"},{"taxonomy":"publication-author","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cdafound.org\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication-author?post=2558"}],"curies":[{"name":"\u0648\u0648\u0631\u062f\u0628\u0631\u064a\u0633","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}